UPDATED: 11-04-25 19:23 PDT

cfp Arkansas 1
  
Arkansas              
W-L: ( 2- 7) PR = 77.3523

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 830 H Alabama A&M 52- 7 906 H Arkansas State SUN ( 5- 4, 66.4) 56-14 913 A Ole Miss SEC ( 8- 1, 82.9) 35-41 920 A Memphis AME ( 8- 1, 80.8) 31-32 927 H Notre Dame IND ( 6- 2, 90.3) 13-56 1011 A Tennessee SEC ( 6- 3, 81.3) 31-34 1018 H Texas A&M SEC ( 8- 0, 89.9) 42-45 1025 H Auburn SEC ( 4- 5, 77.8) 24-33 1101 H Miss St SEC ( 5- 4, 78.2) 35-38 1115 A LSU SEC ( 5- 3, 79.6) 1122 A Texas SEC ( 7- 2, 83.5) 1129 H Missouri SEC ( 6- 2, 81.5)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   906 H Arkansas State         56-14      42    15    ++     5.15
   913 A Ole Miss               35-41      -6    -9    +      3.43
   920 A Memphis                31-32      -1    -7    +++    6.35
   927 H Notre Dame             13-56     -43    -9    ---  -10.95
  1011 A Tennessee              31-34      -3    -8    ++     4.88
  1018 H Texas A&M              42-45      -3    -9    ++     5.66
  1025 H Auburn                 24-33      -9     3    ---  -12.49
  1101 H Miss St                35-38      -3     3    ---   -6.04

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   927 H Notre Dame             13-56     -43    -9    ---  -10.95
  1025 H Auburn                 24-33      -9     3    ---  -12.49
  1101 H Miss St                35-38      -3     3    ---   -6.04

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   920 A Memphis                31-32      -1    -7    +++    6.35
   906 H Arkansas State         56-14      42    15    ++     5.15
  1011 A Tennessee              31-34      -3    -8    ++     4.88
  1018 H Texas A&M              42-45      -3    -9    ++     5.66
   913 A Ole Miss               35-41      -6    -9    +      3.43

Arkansas Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Boston Col ` Arkansas tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Arkansas
California Arkansas   Arkansas
Clemson Arkansas   Arkansas
Duke Duke   Duke
Florida St Florida St   Florida St
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech   Georgia Tech
Louisville Louisville   Louisville
Miami Miami insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Miami
UNC Arkansas   Arkansas
NC St Arkansas tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Arkansas
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh   Pittsburgh
SMU SMU   SMU
Stanford Arkansas   Arkansas
Syracuse Arkansas tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Arkansas
Virginia Virginia   Virginia
Va Tech Arkansas   Arkansas
Wake Forest Arkansas   Arkansas
Army Arkansas   Arkansas
Charlotte Arkansas   Arkansas
Ea Carolina Ea Carolina   Ea Carolina
Fla Atlantic Arkansas tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Arkansas
Memphis Memphis Memphis  
Navy Arkansas   Arkansas
No Texas Arkansas   Arkansas
Rice Arkansas tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Arkansas
So Florida So Florida tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) So Florida
Temple Arkansas   Arkansas
Tulane Arkansas tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Arkansas
Tulsa Arkansas tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Arkansas
UAB Arkansas insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Arkansas
UTSA Arkansas tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Arkansas
Arizona Arizona   Arizona
Arizona St Arizona St tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Arizona St
BYU BYU   BYU
Baylor Arkansas tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Arkansas
Cincinnati Arkansas   Arkansas
Colorado Arkansas   Arkansas
Houston Arkansas   Arkansas
Iowa St Iowa St tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Iowa St
Kansas Arkansas   Arkansas
Kansas St Kansas St   Kansas St
Oklahoma St Arkansas   Arkansas
TCU TCU   TCU
Texas Tech Texas Tech   Texas Tech
UCF Arkansas   Arkansas
Utah Utah   Utah
We Virginia Arkansas   Arkansas
Illinois Illinois   Illinois
Indiana Indiana   Indiana
Iowa Iowa   Iowa
Maryland Arkansas   Arkansas
Michigan Michigan   Michigan
Michigan St Arkansas   Arkansas
Minnesota Arkansas   Arkansas
Nebraska Arkansas   Arkansas
Northwestern Arkansas   Arkansas
Ohio St Ohio St   Ohio St
Oregon Oregon   Oregon
Penn St Arkansas   Arkansas
Purdue Arkansas tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Arkansas
Rutgers Arkansas   Arkansas
UCLA Arkansas   Arkansas
USC USC tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) USC
Washington Washington   Washington
Wisconsin Arkansas   Arkansas
Florida Intl Arkansas   Arkansas
Jacksonv. St Arkansas   Arkansas
Kennesaw St Arkansas tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Arkansas
Liberty Arkansas   Arkansas
La Tech Arkansas   Arkansas
Middle Tenn Arkansas   Arkansas
NM St Arkansas   Arkansas
SHouston St Arkansas   Arkansas
UTEP Arkansas   Arkansas
We Kentucky Arkansas   Arkansas
UMass Arkansas   Arkansas
Notre Dame Notre Dame Notre Dame  
UConn Arkansas   Arkansas
Akron Arkansas   Arkansas
Ball St Arkansas tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Arkansas
Bowl. Green Arkansas   Arkansas
Buffalo Arkansas   Arkansas
Cen Michigan Arkansas   Arkansas
Ea Michigan Arkansas   Arkansas
Kent State Arkansas   Arkansas
MiamiOH Arkansas   Arkansas
No Illinois Arkansas tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Arkansas
Ohio Arkansas   Arkansas
Toledo Arkansas   Arkansas
We Michigan Arkansas   Arkansas
Air Force Arkansas   Arkansas
Boise State Arkansas tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Arkansas
Colorado St Arkansas   Arkansas
Fresno St Arkansas   Arkansas
Hawaii Arkansas   Arkansas
Nevada Arkansas   Arkansas
New Mexico Arkansas   Arkansas
San Diego St Arkansas   Arkansas
San Jose St Arkansas   Arkansas
UNLV Arkansas   Arkansas
Utah St Arkansas tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Arkansas
Wyoming Arkansas   Arkansas
Oregon St Arkansas   Arkansas
Wash St Arkansas tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Arkansas
Alabama Alabama insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Alabama
Auburn Auburn Auburn  
Florida Florida insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Florida
Georgia Georgia Georgia   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Kentucky Arkansas insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Arkansas
LSU LSU tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) LSU
Missouri Missouri insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Missouri
Miss St Miss St Miss St  
Oklahoma Oklahoma Oklahoma   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Ole Miss Ole Miss Ole Miss  
So Carolina Arkansas tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Arkansas
Tennessee Tennessee Tennessee  
Texas Texas insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Texas
Texas A&M Texas A&M Texas A&M  
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt   Vanderbilt
App St Arkansas   Arkansas
Arkansas State Arkansas Arkansas  
Coastal Car Arkansas   Arkansas
Georgia So Arkansas insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Arkansas
Georgia St Arkansas tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Arkansas
J Madison J Madison   J Madison
Louisiana Arkansas   Arkansas
Marshall Arkansas   Arkansas
Old Dominion Arkansas   Arkansas
So Miss Arkansas tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Arkansas
So Alabama Arkansas insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Arkansas
Texas State Arkansas insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Arkansas
Troy Arkansas insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Arkansas
La-Monroe Arkansas tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Arkansas

PowerWise = 91


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 8.46

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Arkansas State  ( 5- 4, 66.4)    56-14      -33.47      20.52      -3.93         1.06            35.09
   0 A Ole Miss        ( 8- 1, 82.9)    35-41      -17.04      36.95       3.93         1.06            -6.94
   0 A Memphis         ( 8- 1, 80.8)    31-32      -19.13      34.86       3.93         1.06            -8.04
   0 H Notre Dame      ( 6- 2, 90.3)    13-56       -9.56      44.43      -3.93         1.06            -7.14
   0 A Tennessee       ( 6- 3, 81.3)    31-34      -18.60      35.39       3.93         1.06            -7.76
   0 H Texas A&M       ( 8- 0, 89.9)    42-45       -9.96      44.03      -3.93         1.06            -7.35
   0 H Auburn          ( 4- 5, 77.8)    24-33      -22.10      31.89      -3.93         1.06           -13.77
   0 H Miss St         ( 5- 4, 78.2)    35-38      -21.66      32.33      -3.93         1.06           -13.54
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -29.43

winning pts = 35.0933 losing points = -64.5188

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------